Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.