Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
| 50.48% | 25.47% | 24.05% |
| Both teams to score 49.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% | 53.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% | 74.87% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% | 21.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% | 54% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% | 37.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.05% |