Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 61.64% | 22.43% | 15.93% |
| Both teams to score 45.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% | 51.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% | 73.28% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% | 16.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.98% | 81.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.87% Total : 61.64% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.93% |