Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 65.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 65.84% | 19.19% | 14.97% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% | 11.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% | 39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% | 75.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.16% Total : 65.83% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-1 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.97% |