Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 65.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
