Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 56.38% | 21.71% | 21.91% |
| Both teams to score 58.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% | 39.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% | 61.85% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% | 13.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.68% | 41.32% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% | 67.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.36% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.65% Total : 21.91% |