Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 58.08% | 22.42% | 19.5% |
| Both teams to score 52.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.27% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% | 15.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% | 44.45% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% | 37.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% | 74.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.5% |