Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
May 1, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Sean Davis 42' yellowcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 47' goal
  • Caden Clark 64' goal
  • yellowcard Boris Sekulic 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Calvo 62'

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2021 10.30pm
LA Galaxy 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Patryk Klimala

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2021 1.00am
Atlanta 3 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Robert Beric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 49.56%
Draw 24.37%
Chicago Fire 26.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.84%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.77%
Under 2.5 47.23%
Over 3.5 30.54%
Under 3.5 69.46%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 80.9%
Under 0.5 19.11%
Over 1.5 49.27%
Under 1.5 50.73%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 67.79%
Under 0.5 32.22%
Over 1.5 31.3%
Under 1.5 68.71%

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 49.55%
Draw 24.37%
Chicago Fire 26.07%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Robert Beric 51' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 72' goal
  • goal Kyle Duncan 39'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 54'
  • yellowcard Aaron Long 79'
  • goal Brian White 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Aug 16, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 29, 2019 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Alejandro Romero 8' goal
  • Marc Rzatkowski 28' yellowcard
  • Luis Robles 30' yellowcard
  • Brian White 59' goal
  • Daniel Royer 93' goal
  • yellowcard Nemanja Nikolics 74'
  • goal Nemanja Nikolics 81'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2019 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
  • Charles Sapong 47' yellowcard
  • Tim Parker 48' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 12, 2018 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Park (Bridgeview, Illinois)
  • Brandt Bronico 11' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 42' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Wright-Phillips 55'
  • yellowcard Marc Rzatkowski 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Royer 74'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 76'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 89'