Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 54.49% | 22.58% | 22.93% |
| Both teams to score 57.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% | 15.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% | 44.32% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% | 32.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% | 68.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.93% |