Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
58.32% | 23.04% | 18.63% |
Both teams to score 49.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.23% | 49.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.22% | 71.77% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.23% | 16.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.28% | 46.72% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% | 40.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.68% | 77.32% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.14% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |