Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13

Sep 28, 2020 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Fontana (25'), Ilsinho (69'), Aaronson (90+6')
Santos (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reyes (5')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
45.66%	25.25%	29.09%

Both teams to score 54.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52%

21.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48%

54.51%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14%

30.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86%

67.13%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 45.65%

Inter Miami 29.09%

Draw 25.25%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.09%