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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Sep 13, 2020 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England

Fontana (73', 90+5')
Andres Martinez (20'), Gaddis (36'), Bedoya (50'), Fontana (65'), McKenzie (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buchanan (81')
Polster (8')
Polster (56')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
46.75%24.24%29.01%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35%44.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06%50.93%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32%28.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5%64.5%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 46.75%
    New England Revolution 29.01%
    Draw 24.24%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.01%

rhs 2.0


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