Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
46.75% | 24.24% | 29.01% |
Both teams to score 57.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% | 19.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.93% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% | 28.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% | 64.5% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.36% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |