Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 52.49% | 23.43% | 24.08% |
| Both teams to score 55.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% | 44.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% | 17.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% | 47.29% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% | 69.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.92% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.08% |