Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 63.81% | 20.92% | 15.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% | 46.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% | 13.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.69% | 41.31% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% | 79.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.65% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 5.04% 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.55% Total : 15.26% |