Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 45.16% | 25.13% | 29.71% |
| Both teams to score 55.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% | 48.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% | 70.31% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% | 21.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% | 29.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% | 66.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.71% |