Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 40.22% | 24.85% | 34.93% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% | 45.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% | 22.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% | 59.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.93% |