Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 43.49% | 25.05% | 31.46% |
| Both teams to score 56.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% | 69.29% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% | 21.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% | 54.76% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% | 63.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.46% |