Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
| 52.05% | 23.71% | 24.25% |
| Both teams to score 55.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% | 45.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% | 68.26% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% | 17.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% | 48.27% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 3.58% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.41% Total : 24.25% |