Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 54.8% | 22.83% | 22.37% |
| Both teams to score 55.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% | 44.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% | 66.44% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% | 15.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% | 45.28% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% | 33.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.37% |