Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2020 at 2pm UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

NY City
0 - 1
Philadelphia

Tinnerholm (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bedoya (63')
Andres Martinez (34'), Monteiro (45+6'), Glesnes (89')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
49.11%	23.48%	27.41%

Both teams to score 59.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77%

42.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37%

64.64%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64%

17.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25%

47.75%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64%

64.37%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 49.11%

Philadelphia Union 27.41%

Draw 23.47%

New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.91% Total : 49.11%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.41%