Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 43.93% | 25.17% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 55.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% | 69.99% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% | 21.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% | 54.93% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% | 64.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.9% |