Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 54.4% | 21.72% | 23.88% |
| Both teams to score 61.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% | 59.41% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% | 13.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59% | 41% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.66% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-1 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.4% Total : 23.88% |