Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 46.15% | 24.89% | 28.96% |
| Both teams to score 55.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% | 47.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% | 69.74% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% | 30.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.96% |