Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 43.03% | 24.73% | 32.24% |
| Both teams to score 57.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% | 45.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% | 67.68% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% | 21.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% | 53.98% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.24% |