Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 42.22% | 24.95% | 32.83% |
| Both teams to score 57.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% | 46.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% | 68.43% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% | 21.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% | 55.08% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.84% |