Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5

Aug 21, 2020 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
NY City

Duncan (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
47.19%	24.41%	28.39%

Both teams to score 56.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23%

45.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92%

68.08%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51%

19.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64%

51.35%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26%

65.74%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 47.2%

New York City FC 28.39%

Draw 24.41%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.07% Total : 47.2%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.39%

Major League Soccer

NY Red Bulls1 - 0NY City

Data Analysis

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NY Red Bulls
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