Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
23.99% | 21.78% | 54.23% |
Both teams to score 61.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.64% | 37.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% | 59.57% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.16% | 13.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.79% | 41.21% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 6.14% 1-0 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.41% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 5.1% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 3.16% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |