Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 47.19% | 24.37% | 28.44% |
| Both teams to score 56.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% | 45.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% | 67.89% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% | 19.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% | 51.24% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% | 65.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.44% |