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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2020 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
DC United

Philadelphia
4 - 1
DC United

Przybylko (7', 16'), Santos (21'), Aaronson (61')
Andres Martinez (10'), Mbaissidara Mbaizo (56'), Mbaizo (56'), Ilsinho (69'), Creavalle (80'), Monteiro (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gressel (63')
Felipe (19')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
46.31%25.69%28%
Both teams to score 52.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56%51.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75%73.25%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8%22.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39%55.61%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5%69.5%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 46.31%
    DC United 28%
    Draw 25.69%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28%

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