Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 24.4% | 23.86% | 51.74% |
| Both teams to score 54.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% | 46.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% | 68.71% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% | 17.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% | 48.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.74% |