Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13

Sep 27, 2020 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY City
4 - 0
Cincinnati

Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
58.89%	22.72%	18.39%

Both teams to score 49.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19%

48.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.91%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24%

45.76%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54%

40.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93%

77.07%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.88%

FC Cincinnati 18.39%

Draw 22.71%

New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.06% Total : 58.88%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.39%