Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14

Oct 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Toronto
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Akinola (58'), Pozuelo (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Santos (5')
Andres Martinez (83')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
50.59%	24.15%	25.27%

Both teams to score 54.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.08%

46.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.84%

69.17%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43%

18.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16%

49.84%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3%

32.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75%

69.25%

Score Analysis

Toronto 50.58%

Philadelphia Union 25.27%

Draw 24.14%

Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.27%

Major League Soccer

Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia

Data Analysis

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Toronto
2 - 1
Philadelphia