Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 59.49% | 21.74% | 18.77% |
| Both teams to score 53.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% | 44.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% | 66.43% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% | 14.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.64% | 42.36% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% | 37.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% | 74.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 6.42% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.78% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.31% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.77% |