Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
59.49% | 21.74% | 18.77% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% | 44.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.57% | 66.43% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% | 14.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.64% | 42.36% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.76% | 37.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.98% | 74.02% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 6.42% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.78% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.31% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |