Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.09% | 25.19% | 31.71% |
Both teams to score 55.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% | 69.77% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% | 22.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% | 55.37% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% | 28.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% | 64.05% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |