Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 41.25% | 25.04% | 33.71% |
| Both teams to score 57.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% | 46.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% | 68.57% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% | 61.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.22% Total : 33.71% |