Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2020 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY City
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pozuelo (90' pen.)

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
42.16%	24.73%	33.11%

Both teams to score 58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96%

45.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61%

67.39%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6%

54.4%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7%

61.3%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 42.16%

Toronto 33.11%

Draw 24.73%

New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.16%	1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.11%