Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 2-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
| 20.64% | 21.37% | 57.99% |
| Both teams to score 58.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% | 39.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% | 61.99% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% | 32.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% | 69.33% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% | 13.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% | 40.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 5.5% 1-0 @ 4.92% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.64% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 3.32% 0-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.99% |