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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Sep 10, 2020 at 1am UK
Stade Saputo
Toronto FC

Montreal
1 - 2
Toronto

Wanyama (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piatti (32'), Altidore (89')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
34.99%25.83%39.18%
Both teams to score 54.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43%49.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4%71.59%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76%27.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33%62.67%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12%24.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 34.99%
    Toronto 39.18%
    Draw 25.83%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.18%