Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 65.81% | 19.21% | 14.97% |
| Both teams to score 54.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% | 39.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% | 11.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.31% | 35.69% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% | 39.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% | 75.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.14% Total : 65.81% | 1-1 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-1 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.45% 1-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.97% |