Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 67.41% | 18.4% | 14.19% |
| Both teams to score 55.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.67% | 37.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.81% | 10.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% | 75.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 7.43% 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.52% 5-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.4% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.63% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 4.05% 0-1 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.19% |