Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
49.11% | 23.75% | 27.14% |
Both teams to score 57.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% | 43.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% | 66.07% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% | 17.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.29% | 48.71% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |