Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 56.31%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.