Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 2-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 7.06% | 12.69% | 80.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.98% | 31.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.58% | 52.42% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% | 47.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% | 83.06% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.04% | 5.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.23% | 22.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 2.19% 1-0 @ 2.1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 7.06% | 1-1 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 3.09% 0-0 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.82% Total : 12.69% | 0-2 @ 11.32% 0-3 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 7.87% 0-4 @ 7.51% 1-4 @ 5.55% 0-5 @ 4.24% 1-5 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 2.05% 0-6 @ 1.99% 1-6 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.01% Total : 80.25% |