Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
| 60.46% | 21.27% | 18.27% |
| Both teams to score 54.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% | 42.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% | 65.15% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.06% | 40.94% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% | 37.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% | 73.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.6% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.45% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.04% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.27% |