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Major League Soccer

Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2020 at 1am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Toronto FC

Montreal
3 - 4
Toronto

Quioto (14', 14'), Taider (36' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Fernando Maciel (6'), Maciel (6')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Laryea (8'), Akinola (25', 37', 83')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
35.89%24.93%39.17%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58%45.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25%67.75%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67%59.33%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98%23.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17%56.83%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 35.9%
    Toronto 39.17%
    Draw 24.93%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.17%

rhs 2.0


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