Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Istra 1961
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2025 3.00pm
Varazdin 1 - 3 Istra 1961
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 4.45pm
Rijeka 1 - 0 Gorica
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Matej Juric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (10.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

NK Istra 1961 30.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 29.99%
HNK Rijeka 39.82% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 40.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 19.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 80.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.72% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.28% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 23.62%
Draw 46.65%
HNK Rijeka 29.73%

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 40.11% ▼ (-0.61)
No Goal 10.46% ▲ (+0.06)
HNK Rijeka 49.43% ▲ (+0.57)

Corners

Over 8 46.42% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 8 12.18% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 8 41.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 35.07% ▲ (+0.79)
Equal 9 11.35% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 9 53.59% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 10.5 25.35% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 10.5 74.65% ▼ (-1.00)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 27.22% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 72.78% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 2.5 8.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.86% ▼ (-0.10)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 70.34% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 29.66% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 33.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.48% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 87.52% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 30.19%
Draw 29.99%
HNK Rijeka 39.8%
NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 30.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.25% ▼ (-0.32)
0-0 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 29.99%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 39.8%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Rijeka
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Istra 1961
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Istra 1961
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Rijeka
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
  • Bruno Goda 46' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Gagua 38'
  • yellowcard Ville Koski 53'
  • yellowcard Kristian Fucak 56'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 69'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Loncar 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 12
Istra 1961
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Advan Kadusic 26' yellowcard
  • Salim Lawal 40' yellowcard
  • Moris Valincic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabrijel Rukavina 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Smolcic 29'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 35'
  • yellowcard Mladen Devetak 45'
  • yellowcard Marco Pasalic 54'
  • goal Toni Fruk 76'
  • yellowcard Simun Butic 90'+1'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 3
Rijeka
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
  • Gabrijel Rukavina 18' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 24' goal
  • Franjo Ivanovic 27' goal
  • Franjo Ivanovic 66' goal
  • yellowcard Iurie Iovu 15'
  • yellowcard Beyatt Lekweiry 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 47'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majkic 52'
  • yellowcard Stephane Paul Keller 68'
  • yellowcard Mario Cuic 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Istra 1961
Apr 14, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
Rijeka
  • Paolo Tramezzani 36' yellowcard
  • Slavko Blagojevic 50' yellowcard
  • Lovro Majkic 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Fruk 30'
  • yellowcard Lindon Selahi 35'
  • yellowcard Marko Pjaca 52'
  • goal Bruno Goda 84'

Form Data

Varazdin 1 - 3 Istra 1961
Osijek 0 - 0 Istra 1961
Istra 1961 1 - 1 Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica 1 - 0 Istra 1961
Istra 1961 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961 1 - 1 Vukovar
Rijeka 1 - 2 Koper
Rijeka 1 - 0 Gorica
Shakhtar 0 - 0 Rijeka
Rijeka 3 - 0 Celje
Rijeka 3 - 1 Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva 0 - 1 Rijeka