Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.41% and a win for Koper had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Koper win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.