Conference League
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Valeriy Bondar 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 55'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Radeljic 72'
  • yellowcard Merveil Ndockyt 78'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Hamrun Spartans 0 - 2 Shakhtar

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Rijeka 3 - 0 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.81% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 61.76% (+3.90)
Draw 21.81% (-0.96)
HNK Rijeka 16.43% (-2.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.91% (-2.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.89% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 48.11% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 29.72% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 70.28% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 14.48% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 85.52% (+0.37)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 84.95% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 15.05% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 56.44% (+2.05)
Under 1.5 43.55% (-2.05)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 57.58% (-3.81)
Under 0.5 42.42% (+3.81)
Over 1.5 21.2% (-3.45)
Under 1.5 78.8% (+3.45)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 61.75%
Draw 21.8%
HNK Rijeka 16.43%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 12.09% (+0.74)
2-0 @ 11.44% (+1.08)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (+0.93)
3-1 @ 6.2% (+0.21)
4-0 @ 3.42% (+0.55)
4-1 @ 2.93% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.20)
5-0 @ 1.3% (+0.25)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-98.49)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 61.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.46)
0-0 @ 6.38% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.49)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.8%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.71)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.29)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.43%