Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 64.26% | 20.28% | 15.46% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% | 43.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% | 65.75% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% | 12.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.95% | 39.05% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% | 40.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% | 77.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-0 @ 11.03% 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 64.25% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.28% | 0-1 @ 4.67% 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.46% |