Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montreal Impact | Draw | Toronto |
| 39.2% | 25.5% | 35.31% |
| Both teams to score 55.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% | 48.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% | 70.21% |
| Montreal Impact Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.51% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montreal Impact | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.31% |