Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11

Sep 23, 2020 at 10pm UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 1
Montreal

Kessler (45+2'), Bou (49'), Fagundez (66')
Farrell (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lappalainen (86')
Binks (53')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Montreal Impact
46.43%	24.74%	28.83%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05%

46.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8%

69.2%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34%

52.65%

Montreal Impact Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02%

29.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91%

66.09%

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 46.43%

Montreal Impact 28.83%

Draw 24.73%

New England Revolution	Draw	Montreal Impact
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.43%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.83%